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An unlikely but interesting scenario

Just doing some musing on the day after a historic Quebec election.. and I’m thinking to myself that a fair portion of the ADQ’s vote and seats has come from 1 big mass protest vote – not unlike what unexpectedly drove Bob Rae and the provincial NDP to power in Ontario in 1990.

If I were a PQ strategist, I might offer them this advice – announce that you will be voting against the Liberals and supporting the ADQ to form the government. Why? Well, the ADQ has a lot of neophyte politicians in that party – some who have some very.. interesting viewpoints on sensitive topics. If I’m the PQ, I might be best served to put the ADQ’s neophyte politicians in the spotlight, and give them the keys to the house and see how they run it. I would suspect the Quebec public would see “the Emperor has no clothes” fairly quickly.

It might even serve the Charest Liberals well if that scenario were to unfold. As some people like Antonio will say, 30% of Quebecker’s issued a protest vote and voted for nothing .. er.. populism. I dont give Dumont 2 years or less to get his feet wet in Official Opposition; making him the government now exposes his agenda as being empty, I suspect.

Of course, that is a fantasy scenario, and likely wont happen (I understand Dumont may grasp his own shortcomings – Antonio has told me he has already ruled out a coalition in the scenario we’re in), but I’m just musing.

5 comments to An unlikely but interesting scenario

  • mushroom

    I had suggested in another blog that Boisclair would be smart to do what Bob Rae did in 1985. The PQ could offer support in confidence and supply measures in return for wrestling more Quebec autonomy from Harper.

    There is more to Dumont’s support than many pundits suggest. I had also argued that it may be good for the CPC right wing to wish for Dumont’s success. Not just for us Liberals, so we can see the return of scary Harper but so that the ex-Reformers and former Socreds can re-exert themselves.

  • It’s not so crazy, but the Libs will stay in power for now. However, if both oppositions vote against the budget next fall, then the LG might turn around and give power to the ADQ if they say they have some support from the PQ.

    Alternately, we may see the PQ support the Liberals’ policies until they get themselves their new leader, since as bad as they were with Boisclair, just coming off a leadership contest probably won’t help them any.

  • One never knows what to make out of this. I heard that Dumont was seen going into 24 Sussex a week or so, before the election. Also Dumont voted on the Yes side for separation in 1995, also wants a constitution for Quebec, wants Quebec to collect it’s own taxes…getting closer to the PQ

  • Jan:

    The Liberals were the official opposition in 1985 in Ontario. That didn’t prevent them from signing an accord with the NDP and throwing out the Tories and becoming the government. That’s what I’m musing about and wondering if the PQ might not be smart to try and lure Dumont into accepting the reins of power.. which I think would expose his movement for the nothing party that it is.

  • janfromthebruce

    One big difference Scott, is the economy and lots of money from the feds. A completely different scenerio than Rae’s NDP prov govt in the early 90s. It makes it a lot more easier to push your policies when you have the means to do so. Also, a big difference is that the ADQ didn’t win a majority, and they are the official opposition.

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