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The new Liberal TV Ad: “Harpernomics and You”

This particular one  is a 15 second snippet, rather then the 30 second ones we’ve been seeing, but continuing on the “Harpernomics” and “Do you really want more of this?” theme we see in the Listeriosis Ad:

Again, this one is aimed at aggressively attacking the perception that Harper has created that somehow only the Conservatives can best manage the economy correctly. I’d prefer a 30 second segment showing more of what we’re going after Harper over on the “cutting economic development” front, but the Liberals might have something in mind by playing these quick ad bites.

Anyhow, perhaps they saw A Creative Revolution’s Youtube video on the same theme, and decided they liked it enough to do their own version of it. Let’s replay that one to show how the bloggers over there did it:

Assorted campaign thoughts on Nanos, Liberals platform, and the CPC War Room

– The full Liberal election platform was released yesterday. There are many other bloggers who’ve released the details and explained what is there, so the only thing I’ll add to what they said or opined is that this couple of sentences in explaining the “costing” of the platform caught my eye:

The Conservative Government has not released the most recent projections of Government revenues despite the fact that this information is usually ready by the middle of September. This platform builds upon the most recent official estimates of the Government as found in Budget 2008.

Above and beyond the fact I hadn’t realized the Conservatives had delayed the revenues projection (which doesn’t surprise me in the least – and maybe someone should be asking them about that), the fact that the Liberal plans costs  of their platform is based on the Conservatives last most recent estimates means that if the Cons. come out and criticize it as being “unrealistic”, they more or less are admitting their own costing figures are wrong. Perhaps that explains the almost muted response from the Conservative War Room which got them panned in the media and from observers.

– Speaking of the Conservative War Room, perhaps they just aren’t trusted enough to issue rebuttals to big events, since they apparently can’t even figure out the NDP is more then an Ottawa-based party. Who’s been assigned to the proof-reading up there in Conservative War-Room central?

– For those wondering about why Nanos has the race still fairly close as opposed to the rest of the polling firms, check out this interesting article in the Ottawa Citizen today, where Nik Nanos explains he believes it to be the methodology used.

Nanos repeats 5 point Cons lead on Liberals today.

Another day, and yet another Nanos poll showing still a slim 5 point Conservative lead over the Liberals.

Nik Nanos assessment:

Results of today’s CPAC-Nanos tracking poll show the Conservatives continue their five-point lead over the Liberals at 35% national support. The Liberals stand at 30%, followed by the NDP at 22%, the Bloc Québécois at 7% and the Green Party at 6%. In Ontario, the Conservatives have slipped below the Liberals, while the NDP is gaining momentum in the province, and also in Quebec where the race remains tight between the Conservatives and the Bloc.

The Cons have also slipped into 3rd place into Atlantic Canada (within the MOE) in this new tracking poll as well, I should note.

Right now, the Conservative supporters are screaming “outlier!” on the Nanos poll, and it’s getting ignored by the pundits for their own polls which shows more sizable Conservative leads. Perhaps it is the outlier, but Ottlib makes a good point at their blog – a lot of the parties statements don’t jive with this being a non-race at this point:

According to all of the polls except Nanos the Liberals are toast. They are done, history. Yet today we had Mr. Harper pandering to his base with a silly crime and punishment announcement, Mr. Rae telling voters that we have to end vote splitting on the left to beat the Conservatives, and Mr. Layton stating that he would be willing to form a coalition with the Liberals.

So, Mr. Harper, why are you pandering to your base? You apparently have this election in the bag. You should be talking to everybody but your base at this point to push you over the top to a majority.

Mr. Rae, why are you even talking about a Liberal victory at all? Mr. Duffy et. al. says the Liberals are done so you should not be talking about actually winning this thing. You should instead be plotting strategy for the leadership convention to replace Mr. Dion. C’mon, get with the program!

Mr. Layton, why are you talking about a coalition? According to Peter Donolo and Bruce Anderson you are going to be fighting for second place in this election. You are on the cusp of making the NDP the Official Opposition. Now is not the time to talk coalition. You should be fighting to put yourself over that hump.

At this time in the election campaign there is a massive disconnect with what the media is telling us about it and how the various campaigns are pursuing their respective campaigns. None of them are acting as if the Liberals are way down and possibly facing third party status. Although things can change in a heartbeat during an election campaign the actions of the various parties seems to indicate that this thing is alot closer than we are being lead to believe.

If these numbers were to hold, you’d not see much difference in the current house then you would now.. which is why I was pleased to see this transcript of what Jack Layton said this morning on Canada AM:

Seamus: AS YOU SAID, YOU KNOW YOU’RE TARGETING– NO DIFFERENT BETWEEN THESE TWO OLD PARTIES. YOU ARE TARGETING THE CONSERVATIVES. YOU SAID WE CANNOT HAVE MORE OF THIS KIND OF GOVERNMENT. DO YOU BELIEVE SO STRONGLY IN THAT THAT YOU WOULD ENTERTAIN EVEN THE NOTION OF ENTERING A COALITION WITH THE LIBERALS IN ORDER TO KEEP THE CONSERVATIVES OUT OF PARTY?

Hon. Jack Layton: I HAVE WORKED WITH ANY OTHER PARTY. MAYBE IT GOES BACK TO MY DAYS ON MUNICIPAL COUNCIL. YOU ROLE UP YOUR SLEEVES AND YOU TRY TO SOLVE A PROBLEM. RIGHT NOW THE PROBLEM WE HAVE IS STEPHEN HARPER AND HIS CONSERVATIVES. THEY ARE TAKING THE COUNTRY DOWN THE WRONG PATH. THEY ARE MUCH TOO CLOSE TO GEORGE BUSH-STYLE FOREIGN POLICY WHEN IT COMES TO THE WAR IN MY VIEW.

Seamus: IF YOU ADDED UP THE SEATS THAT YOU COULD GAIN AND THE THE SEATS THAT THE LIBERALS– THAT OUTNUMBERED THE CONSERVATIVES, WOULD YOU CONSIDER A COALITION?

Hon. Jack Layton: HOPEFULLY I’LL SIT DOWN IN THE PRIME MINISTER’S OFFICE AND PULL TOGETHER THE LEADERSHIP OF MY PARTY AND SAY HOW CAN WE BEST GET THAT CHILD CARE PROGRAM THAT WE COMMITTED TO? HOW CAN WE GET THE DOCTORS AND NURSES DRAINED AND DEAL WITH THESE WAIT TIMES?

Seamus: BY WHATEVER MEANS NECESSARY.

Hon. Jack Layton: LET’S MAKE IT HAPPEN.

I’m pleased to hear he’s willing to support the Liberals in a coalition government to take down the Conservative Party (H/T: APOV for the CTV story). I’ve also heard Gilles Duceppes say he’d prefer a Liberal government as well. A Grand Coalition forming perhaps? The ABC movement (Anyone But Conservatives) being taken to heart by the opposition parties? Jack Layton admitting the only way to stop the Harperites is to work with the Liberals instead of tearing at them as he has the past couple of years and support a Dion-led government? Interesting times, folks.

I’ll repeat what I said yesterday: Canada’s most accurate pollster in 2006 and in the Ontario election of 2007 has said this election is far from over.. and the parties are certainly also acting as that to be also the case.

Crime bill posturing by Nicholson and Conservatives

So according to Justice Minister Rob Nicholson, he and the Conservatives would rather force another election then back down on their “law and order” bills if they are re-elected with a minority government, and the opposition parties object to it.

An interesting tactic by Nicholson.. is he saying this merely to appeal to Conservative core support, as the article suggests, or is he doing it to implicitly say to Canadians, “Give us a majority so that we can pass this, or else the meanie opposition parties might block it and then we’ll have to put you through another election fairly soon again”.

Mr. Nicholson arrogantly forgets that if he […]

“The fundamentals of our economy are strong” Sound familiar?

That’s what Harper was airing in those pre-election election ads about Canada’s economy. Did any of you think it sounded like a familiar refrain? Well it should, and Progressive Blogger affiliate A Creative Revolution points out at their site and at Youtube WHY it should sound familiar – because it’s what conservatives and their allies use as a line when the economy is going downhill:

The Nanos tracking poll tightens to 5 points.

The Sunday Nanos tracking poll shows another drop in Conservative support today – down from 11 on Friday, to 9 on Saturday to now just a lead of 5 points on the Liberals today. Are the new Liberal ads – 2 of them that are very tough on Harper – causing people to reconsider their support for Harper perhaps?

Results of today’s CPAC-Nanos tracking poll show the Conservatives leading in national support at 36%. Just 5 points behind are the Liberals at 31%, followed by the NDP at 20% and the Bloc Québécois and the Green Party tied at 7%. In Central Canada, the deadlock between the Conservatives and the Liberals in Ontario and the Conservatives, Liberals and Bloc in Quebec continues.

It appears the Liberals have picked up some support in all areas across the country, while the Conservatives have dropped – most notably in Quebec. Now, I’ll say the tricky thing with daily tracking polls is you could see a completely different result tomorrow, but at least according to Nanos, the race, my friends, is far from over.

Liberal Ad #2 Released today – Liberal Leadership

Well, straight on the heels of the prior post talking about the newest Liberal ad, I noticed the Liberals had released a 2nd ad today and so here it is:

You might remember this ad from somewhere else. This was released a couple of years ago after the initial Conservative attack ads on Dion after he won the leadership. The Liberals have decided to re-release this to emphasize what they feel is “real leadership” – which in this case is real results on the world stage to do with the environment. It’s not a bad idea to remind people of this either.

[…]

Do Canadians really want more of Harper and his party?

I sure don’t:

Myself, I would have preferred if the Liberals would have been more specific in referencing the Canadian Medical Association Journal Article which blamed the Conservatives in part for this tragedy instead of just talking vaguely about failed measures, and I would have preferred talking about all the ex-Harris cabinet ministers that were in Mike Harris’s government whose similar measures led to Walkerton. It’s a good ad, but it could have been a much better ad.

Ultimately, as I and other progressive bloggers keep repeating, this shouldn’t be targeted solely on Ritz; this should be focused on the Conservatives policy in general of cutting funding for meat […]

Report: US wishes to have sole command of NATO in Afghanistan?

This story caught my attention. A report in the England-based newspaper The Independent from yesterday claims that the US is seeking sole control of the NATO Afghanistan mission against the Taliban:

The Bush administration is pushing for sweeping changes to the military command structure in Afghanistan, so that the head of international forces would report directly to US Central Command instead of Nato…The Independent has learnt that the proposal to streamline the complex chain of command, enabling US General David McKiernan to be answerable to superiors at Centcom in Tampa, Florida, rather than Nato, is before Robert Gates, the American Defence Secretary…Any move to make the Afghan war an American-run […]

Scary too.

Blast Furnace Canada is right – The Listeriosis outbreak is getting ugly:

An infant in Manitoba has died from listeriosis. It’s too early to say whether the death is linked to the problems at Maple Leaf, but it does make you wonder how much worse it is going to get before it gets better…Almost amazingly, Harper continues to stand by his man Gerry Ritz, saying that while the remarks were “completely inappropriate” the apology was enough.17 people dying is enough? Hundreds getting sick is enough?

I agree about Gerry Ritz, but let’s remember the bigger picture here, as Steve put into focus earlier at his blog. The main focus shouldn’t […]

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