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Interesting last Ekos poll and commentary before Parliament’s summer break

This poll is a day old in its release, but I found it noteworthy for a couple of reasons:

One reason is this:

(This) EKOS poll gives the Conservatives 30.5 per cent support from Canadians, compared to 26.3 per cent for the Liberals. The Tories have been sliding over the past few weeks, losing the 10-point lead they enjoyed over the Liberals not so long ago. The NDP, meanwhile, are at 17.4 per cent, compared to the Green Party at 12.3 per cent; the Bloc is at 10.5 per cent.

“Their (the Harper Conservatives) current vote intention is the lowest since they took office and the leading direction of federal-government indicator is the lowest for any sitting Canadian government in the 11 years we have been tracking it,” says Mr. Graves.

You’ve seen a lot of chatter about problems for the Liberal Party and Ignatieff of late; mostly to do with NDP/Liberal merger/coalition chatter (which by the way, is something that really BUGS me about how some of the mainstream media have been reporting that; they seem to be mixing merger and coalition as the same thing, and it is clearly not the same thing. It’s either laziness, or a deliberate attempt to obfuscate the 2 terms and confuse the Canadian public into thinking these 2 mean the same thing).

Most folks have presumed that talk about potential coalitions or mergers would hurt the Liberal Party/give a boost to the Conservative Party. That has clearly not happened however, showing perhaps folks don’t consider it such an affront to democracy as the Conservatives and their supporters have been trying to portray it as. I don’t doubt that the “Billion Dollar Boondoggle” also known as the G8/G20 Summit, complete with fake lakes, 100 000$ gazebos in the middle of nowhere, and refurbishing steamboats that wont be ready until after the summit is over has helped contribute to the Conservatives’ recent malaise.

The other thing that caught the eye was this statement from Frank Graves:

Mr. Graves says that the first-past-the-post system is now unworkable because the “old parties are incapable of creating stable constituencies.” “Boomers will lose their strangle-hold on power. Young voters are turning to new parties like the GP [Green Party]. Parliaments will be forced to become mosaics rather than monolithic, reflecting a more pluralistic and faster-changing society.”

A pollster has come out and basically stated the FPTP system is unworkable. It would be a nice opportunity for a party like.. oh.. say.. the Liberal Party to get bold for once; to forget about hoping that they can somehow magically make the FPTP system work for them to start another natural governing party scenario for them as they did in the 20th century, and to propose electoral reform. I’d prefer some form of Proportional Representation, but if that’s too radical for the party, I’d settle on Alternative Voting/Instant Runoff voting.

I’ve heard whispers that the LPC is going to be presenting in their election platform (or just prior to it) a package of “democratic reform”. That’s fine, depending on what they offer up, but that’s pointedly different then electoral reform, which would be much more visionary and innovative and daring. Given the stalemate state of politics in Canada, which has become the new status quo, something needs to be done to give the public a reason to believe we’re not the same old Liberal Party. Electoral reform would be a small but good start.

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5 comments to Interesting last Ekos poll and commentary before Parliament’s summer break

  • wayne

    I,am glad the west is running the country now.Instead of them crooked liberals from quebec.And blame the liberals for beginning in the emigrate act.Thats why the liberals get all there votes in the toronto area.So many emigrates in toronto who vote liberal.And i,am sick in tired of my money going to the city of toronto.Five billion went there this year.The liberals are corupt power hungary s.o.b,s.It,s the oil from out west that,s keeping our dollar so high.

    • Jon Pertwee

      @wayne, are you on crack Wayne? Last time I checked we were a parliamentary democracy governed by MPs from all over the country.

      What twisted world do you live in?

      Emigrates? Power hungary? Did you actually pay attention at school?

  • Kephalos

    More democracy more often!

    Instead of FPTP, federal and provincial governments should use “2nd-choice” ballots; or even better, run-off elections. And make better use of technology to bring down the cost, and push up voter participation.

  • DL

    The more talk there is about coalitions, accords, alliance and yes, even mergers – the better. It all helps educate the public and conditions them to accept a coalition it happens. In December 2008, I’ll bet that 90% of Canadians didn’t even know what the word “coalition” meant. Now as a result of all this discussion and as a result of the British Con/Dem coalition – it has become part of the Canadian political lexicon. Its all good!

  • MississaugaPeter

    Scott,

    The problem is that very few polls nowadays mention the percentage of the undecided vote. I am sure that the $1B boondoggle in the next 2 weeks (when updated polls are released) will show an increase in the undecided vote (those who are moving away from the Conservatives) and will thus show the Conservatives below 30%.

    The Lib/NDP coaltion stuff is not something that will be a net positive/negative until either an election campaign focuses on it or there is more than just chatter about it.

    The FPTP will never happen as long as the mainstream parties all think they have a chance under the present system – there are Liberal, Conservative, NDP, and Bloc (PQ) provincial wings who have recently or expect in the near future to benefit from the FPTP. Grassroots folks need to demand it to make it happen. Unfortunately, more and more folks are becoming disinterested in politics. When that changes, there could be some hope for the dissolution of this FPTP system.

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