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Very interesting Green things going on in the Saanich-Gulf Islands…

..if this poll is accurate:

Of the voters who have decided and say they are definitely voting, 34 per cent said they’ll support Lunn and 32 per cent will back May. Liberal candidate Renee Hetherington and NDP candidate Edith Loring-Kuhanga each received 17 per cent…The telephone poll by McAllister Opinion Research in Vancouver polled 402 randomly selected adults in the riding between Aug. 21 and 25. A random sample of 405 would have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

If anyone knows of that particular polling firm, and if they’ve been around for awhile, I’d be interested to hear from you. Also, the poll was commissioned by the Green Party, so it may (I emphasize may, no pun intended) be needed to be taken with a grain of salt.

Still, the Ekos poll yesterday did show the Green Party rising in popular support in a couple of areas, with BC being one of those areas, and it did predict 2 Green MP’s would get elected if an election were held yesterday, so this poll may very well be accurate.

5 comments to Very interesting Green things going on in the Saanich-Gulf Islands…

  • Just a couple points: the poll was not commissioned by the Green Party. It was commissioned by GreenPartyStrategy.ca. You can read some very interesting observations a re this poll and polls in general in yesterday’s post: http://www.greenpartystrategy.ca/articles/gps-poll-can-may-win-sgi and more about the results in today’s post: http://www.greenpartystrategy.ca/articles/good-news-may-can-win. Third in the 3 part series comes out tomorrow with what is already entitled The Bad News.

    Green Arrow, while I can’t speak to what happened in SGI in 2008, more recently Ignatieff has explicitly urged Green and NDP supporters to vote Liberal. His August 9th speech was reported in the Sun: http://www.torontosun.com/news/canada/2010/08/09/14970171.html

    I know for a fact that my own local Liberal campaign (Haldimand-Norfolk — Ontario) was urging Green supporters to vote Liberal in 2008. The Liberal candidate told me in person on the eve of the election that his campaign had started using this message in the final two days of the campaign. BTW, even if every single Green voter in my riding had voted Liberal, the Conservative still would have won by more than 2000 votes.

    • Green Arrow

      @JimBobby, Thanks JimBobby. It’s nice to be able to read something in regards to a point. I guess for me it doesn’t come as a surprise that a politician would be telling others to vote for them and not the others.

      Interesting point too. What exactly is the usefulness of taking such a tact where a transition of voters wouldn’t provide the desired effect. Personally, I’d like to see the greens get a seat or two just so people can get a feel of them in parliament. At this point any conjecture of how they would be in parliament is pure speculation. A few Green MPs would be good for parliament in general. Heck, any change from this wedge politics would be a change in the right direction. New voices to the debate would definitely add to that.

      Im not a green but I do prefer a bit more diversity in my politics. I hope they get a few. Its well overtime that we tried doing things differently.

      Thanks,

      Green Arrow

  • Green Arrow

    Robert, I am a bit puzzled. You have stated that the Liberals and others were telling people not to vote green. I cannot find anything besides your statement on the matter. Now Im confused at that statement and how it is a fact. Are you implying that the Liberals should have been encouraging people to vote green? That doesnt make a single bit of sense. Do you have any citation or proof of how much expenditures that were made by the Liberals for Briony Reid’s campaign?

    Unfortunately, I cannot find anything online to back up your statement as fact. Could you please provide some links so I can read it myself?

    Thanks

    Green Arrow

  • I think Robert means Briony PENN (not Reid). She and her riding association raised $79,500 locally, however, so perhaps they didn’t need the financial assistance from the centre, although they were also the only party to receive transfers from the centre during the campaign ($2K).

    http://www.punditsguide.ca/riding/?riding=1239&pane=1

  • Here’s a fact: in the last election, the Liberals (and others) were telling us that people shouldn’t vote Green in Saanich-Gulf Islands, because they would be hurting Briony Reid’s chances of winning.

    As it turned out, the Liberals gave Reid very little financial support, so this sort of talk shouldn’t be taken seriously next time around.

    I won’t hold my breath waiting for Renee Hetherington and Edith Loring-Kuhanga to withdraw as candidates to keep the Cons from keeping this seat.

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