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Ontario final polls (almost): Pick a poll you like

…and then see which one after tomorrow night comes closest (Eric Grenier of threehundreeight.com did this nice photo of all polls he’s had up to this tweet)

I said almost in the title because Ekos may have an updated poll release before midnight tonight.. but we’ll see. The Eligible voter models are more or less close… its when you get into “Likely Voters” that divergence happens. It will be very interesting to see which models work and which dont – and also the accuracy of online polls vs IVR push button polling. Unfortunately, no recent telephone polling done, so we can’t compare that methodology, but it would have been nice to have.

As stated ad nauseam elsewhere, the uncertain polling means this is likely a battle of the parties GOTV operations, and where their pop vote and voters are concentrated.

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