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Conclusion? It’s extremely volatile and fluid out there as to who is going to vote for who (with the exception of Quebec, where it seems voters are convinced they aren’t going to vote en masse for Harper. Decima has the Cons. extending their lead to 10 here. Nanos has the gap narrowing to 4 [...] Tags: Canadian Election 2008, Decima, Ipsos-Reid, Nanos, voter intentions | Category: Canadian Politics |
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 | Trackback for this entryWell, Nanos keep the Conservative lead at 4, but the regionals still show a lot of interesting things: - The Liberals have jumped back into a 14 point lead over the Cons. in Atlantic Canada, after a dead head yesterday (Liberals +8, Cons. -6). This has been one of the most volatile regions for [...] Tags: Canadian Election 2008, Decima, Nanos, polling, voter intentions | Category: Canadian Politics |
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| Trackback for this entryThe new Harris-Decima poll shows a narrowing gap of 4 between the Cons and the Liberals based on, you guessed it, economic worries: The latest Canadian Press Harris-Decima poll gave Harper’s Conservatives 31 per cent support across Canada, just four percentage points clear of the resurgent Liberals. The New Democrats had 20 per cent [...] Tags: Canadian elections, Decima, economy, Harper, polling, voter intentions | Category: Canadian Politics |
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| Trackback for this entryDare I say it, the Conservatives are in real danger now; forget their hopes for a majority, they are in peril of losing the government altogether, IF the trends hold that Nanos is showing today: CP 34%, Lib 31%, NDP 18%, BQ 11%, GP 6% Pollster Nik Nanos comments on the new numbers: The [...] Tags: Canadian Election 2008, Decima, Nanos, polls, voting intentions | Category: Canadian Politics |
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| Trackback for this entryDo you like Nanos? I like Nanos: CPAC-Nanos Daily Election Tracking CP 34, LP 30, NDP 19, BQ 10, GP 7 (ending October 4) If one looks at the regional polls today, we see that the Liberals have taken a decisive lead in Atlantic Canada (not a particular surprise), but the Liberals have now [...] Tags: Canadian Election 2008, Decima, Nanos, polls, voting intentions | Category: Canadian Politics |
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| Trackback for this entryIf the latest 2 polls released today from Decima and Nanos are an accurate indicator of a Liberal turnaround in the polls and not just statistical noise, then all we engaged in the last blogpost of mine was some fun hypothetical situations. Harper showed his “not likable streak” last week that he’s [...] Tags: Canadian Election 2008, Decima, Nanos, polls, voting intentions | Category: Canadian Politics |
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| Trackback for this entryThere are a lot of polls out there. You also have a lot of newspapers declaring this and that over their particular poll they’ve sponsored without mentioning a thing about other polls that may contradict their specific pollster’s narrative. See the doom and gloom predictions of the Toronto Star and Jim Travers in this [...] Tags: Canadian election campaign, Decima, Liberal ads, Nanos, polling intentions | Category: Canadian Politics, International Politics |
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| Trackback for this entryLet’s list those bad optics as I see them: - Two polls come out yesterday from Decima and the election guru, Nanos, showing the Liberals leading within the margin of error. Both breakdowns in regional vote would lead to a Liberal minority government if they were to translate to Election Day. - You have [...] Tags: Decima, election speculation, Harper, listeria, Nanos, polling intentions | Category: Canadian Politics |
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| Trackback for this entry… and we must never jump to conclusions too soon on only one poll, but traditionally when Parliament is not sitting, the governing party’s poll fortunes rise. We have also seen the Cons. unleash the “tax on everything!” attack on the Liberal’s Green Shift, but in this particular poll’s results, it appears that neither [...] Tags: canadian polls, Decima | Category: Canadian Politics |
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| Trackback for this entryApparently, according to some readers, I only bring up polls I like on this blog. First off, I’ll mention that Angus Reid released an (online) poll for the Toronto Star the past couple of days that showed the Cons. up by 10 over the Liberals, had the NDP near 20%, and which seemingly put Chantal Hebert into overdrive mode at the Star in her op-ed columns claiming this poll showed that the Liberals and Dion were dead in Quebec; she was already doing this after the CROP/La Presse poll came out earlier that had the Liberals down by 10 to the Cons. and BQ in Quebec. This was done a week or so after another column where she played down other polls which showed Conservative strength much lower in Quebec and had her arguing those polls didn’t match what was heard and seen on the ground (which curiously enough, is what Antonio over at Fuddle-Duddle has been claiming as well to me as well – coincidence?). So, I’ll be very interested to see if the new Harris-Decima poll gets mentioned by her – or others – that shows another polling deadlock: Continue reading Libs and Cons deadlocked in new Decima Poll. Will Chantal Hebert mention it? Tags: Angus-Reid, CROP, Decima, polls, voting intentions | Category: Canadian Politics |
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