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Posted by Scott Tribe on October 7, 2011, at 8:41 am |
It was a fascinating result last night in Ontario (I say that as someone interested in political science, not as a Liberal partisan). It’s not often in a First-Past-The-Post electoral system that you see a party fall exactly 1 seat short of a majority, but that’s what happened in the case of Dalton McGuinty and The Ontario Liberal Party. Late polls indicating a majority never materialized, or the PC party again had more dedicated partisans coming out to vote. That said, the Liberals were way behind in polls 2-3 months ago, so a win, even if it fell short of a majority, has to be a satisfying outcome for [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on June 18, 2010, at 2:07 pm |
This poll is a day old in its release, but I found it noteworthy for a couple of reasons:
One reason is this:
(This) EKOS poll gives the Conservatives 30.5 per cent support from Canadians, compared to 26.3 per cent for the Liberals. The Tories have been sliding over the past few weeks, losing the 10-point lead they enjoyed over the Liberals not so long ago. The NDP, meanwhile, are at 17.4 per cent, compared to the Green Party at 12.3 per cent; the Bloc is at 10.5 per cent.
“Their (the Harper Conservatives) current vote intention is the lowest since they took office and the leading direction of [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on April 23, 2010, at 1:24 pm |
I’ve said before I’m cheering for the Liberal Democrats to do well in the UK general election on May 6, and I’m very thrilled obviously to see them turn this election into a 3 party horse-race with their leader Nick Clegg doing very well in the leaders debates so far (one more to go next week), and some polls indicating they’re actually leading – in popular vote percentage anyhow.
I should say I’d be delighted if they actually pulled off the biggest upset in UK electoral politics and actually formed the government, but failing that, there is another electoral result that is possible and which I wouldn’t mind [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on May 19, 2009, at 5:19 pm |
That’s what my friend and colleague Michael Taube writes in the Calgary Herald in this column, about how proponents of electoral reform can have better success.
Last week, I trotted out the idea that electoral reform advocates needed to now forget about MMP or STV and instead start advocating the voting voting model known as Instant-Runoff-Voting (IRV), which I felt would be easier to explain to people, as well as be a bit more of an incremental change that Canadians might accept. Mike takes a more general view – he doesnt pick out a specific voting model, but related to my “pick a voting model that is simple and [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on May 11, 2009, at 12:38 am |
Well, try this site out and take a look. Thanks to Andrew Coyne for finding that, who is trying to do some dramatic last-minute posts at Macleans endorsing STV to get it over the hump. Heck, even Paul Wells has jumped on the STV endorsement wagon, and that’s something, because I recall at the very least he was agnostic about the MMP proposal in Ontario in 2007.
I obviously endorse STV and hope it passes – if only so I don’t have to read another smirking editorial from the Toronto Star (led I won’t doubt by Ian Urquhart, if he’s still involved in the editorials over there. Ian has [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on April 16, 2009, at 1:23 pm |
I saw news about this poll yesterday at several different blogs, and as a supporter of electoral reform, of course I’m very happy to see this:
Poll: 65 per cent of British Columbians support BC-STV Younger voters overwhelming in their support
Vancouver, B.C. – The numbers are in and British Columbia voters are giving a big thumbs up to electoral reform with 65 per cent saying they will vote for BC-STV in the upcoming referendum on May 12. That is the top line result of a major survey conducted by Angus Reid Strategies. Support for a new way of electing our MLAs is particularly strong among younger voters – [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on January 12, 2009, at 12:35 pm |
Well, here’s a topic we haven’t discussed in a while: electoral reform. Look for more of it though, as the referendum approaches in BC asking if voters wish to change theircurrent First-Past-The-Post voting system to Single Transferable Vote, or STV for short.
I noticed this morning that my Liberal colleague David Eaves was questioning among other things whether this upcoming referendum was too soon after the last one (I don`t think it`s an issue, because I believe in the US, propositions that get defeated on the ballot can get resurrected every 4 years , as far as I understand), and the other question he asked was whether a 60.1% [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on November 19, 2008, at 9:20 am |
David Graham had a detailed article written in the Guelph Mercury that he highlighted at his blog yesterday about how he was in favour of reforming the voting system we have by changing it from what we currently have (First Past The Post) to Instant Run-Off Voting.
David and I have disagreed many times – sometimes vehemently – over what type of electoral voting system reforms Canada should have. We were on opposite sides of the MMP referendum last year in Ontario. That said, I follow the view of the website Liberals For Electoral Reform, who yesterday affirmed that while the site does support the Single-Transferable Vote Option [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on November 28, 2007, at 7:08 pm |
Three cases of that statement that caught my eye this evening.
First, Harper’s statements on climate change and declaring that Kyoto was ” a mistake” earned him a unanimous disassociation of that statement in the Quebec legislature by all 3 parties. Regardless of what Chantal Hebert opines, I believe Dion should be hammering on that issue everywhere, but particularly in Quebec come next election.
Secondly, and on a related note, the UN issues about as unsubtle a diplomatic rebuke as you can do with regards to Harper and Canada’s position on Climate Change.
Thirdly, the decision by the NDP and Jack Layton to support the Cons. motion on prohibiting [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on November 27, 2007, at 9:55 am |
The title of course is referring to the comment that Conservative House Leader Peter Van Loan made about Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty when the Premier protested about the unfairness of Albertan and BC getting seat redistribution that would accurately reflect representation by population for them, while Ontario got shortchanged of seats.
I have said prior that this was nothing more then a gerrymandering exercise to get more seats in provinces that the Cons have a better shot of winning then in urban Ontario, and it appears via Impolitical, the Premier of Quebec and the Premier of Manitoba agree with Dalton’s position on this.
I am willing to bet you [...]
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