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Was Tim Hudak Ontario’s version of Michael Ignatieff circa 2011?

I was thinking about that comparison as I digest a surprising Liberal majority in Ontario this AM (but the folks at Forum and Ekos with their last polls called it – so kudos to them. I think Nanos also had 1 poll out that pretty well mirrored the results).

Thinking back to 2011, Harper was (and still isn’t) not a universally loved leader, but Ignatieff was less popular then him (due both to attack ads and his personality in general, I’d argue). In Ontario, the OLP as a whole were not obviously loved by all due to some of their track record, but Hudak was disliked worse, it seems.

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Wynne & OLP have (polling) momentum going into debate

… or so it would appear from the latest polling. Ekos had a 5 pt OLP lead yesterday, while Abacus had a 2 or 7 pt OLP lead (depending on their likely voter or all voter screen), and today Nanos finally enters the polling arena. The Nanos polling company has been promoting their Power Index stuff for awhile, so it takes some time to scroll down and find the actual poll results. but the OLP leads by 6.5% (and at 37.7%) when you do eventually find it.

What does that mean for tonight’s debate? It’s the last chance for the NDP’s Andrea Horwath to make an impression on voters – […]

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Advance polling in Ontario opens today – please #voteon

By now, most people in Ontario will have gotten their voting cards, or will shortly.

If you live in Ontario, regardless of who you support, I encourage you to go out and vote. There are plenty of people literally dying in the world fighting to have the right to live in a democracy and be able to pick their leaders this way. We should not take our rights for granted.

Fight cynicism, learn the issues and vote for who you think best represents your views, and help keep our democracy healthy.

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Your #voteon narrative for today: not good for opposition parties.

Your one narrative that is going around the media and which Premier Wynne has decided to target extensively today: Tim Hudak’s bungled million jobs plan numbers:

..Based on a backgrounder distributed by the Progressive Conservatives to journalists, but not posted on their website, it is clear that the planners confused person-years of employment with permanent jobs. This confusion led them to vastly overestimate the effect of their proposed job-creating measures. The result was that the half million jobs the Progressive Conservatives were promising to create with their plan (base-case economic growth was expected to provide the other half-million jobs) was really only about 75,000 (ST: my highlight) —fewer than […]

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An interview with Brant MPP Dave Levac (Part 2 – Issues/Campaign)

Here is Part 2 of my conversation with Brant MPP and Speaker of the House Dave Levac I had with on Victoria Day Monday, dealing with the election campaign and issues. Part 1 of that conversation which dealt with him being Speaker and what that entails and his reflections on the past session can be found here. (As an aside, I was impressed he said at the end that he had made it a point to read my blog and found it had good material. Bonus marks for him. And no, that didnt make it into the transcript.. but yes, I have it on audio recording if anyone wants proof […]

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An interview with Brant MPP @DaveLevac (Part 1 – Speaker stuff)

I was up in Brantford yesterday and had the opportunity to visit the campaign offices of Dave Levac, current Liberal MPP for Brant and Speaker of the House in the past session. I was given the opportunity to have a sit down interview with Mr. Levac to discuss some questions on how the campaign was going and get some of his views on various topics. I wanted to thank Mr. Levac as well as Bob Yuhaz, director of communications for their hospitality and accommodation (and also to my friend Danielle Takacs, who took me out on a Dave Levac literature drop with her to some Brantford neighbourhoods. It reminded me […]

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Whither the Ontario NDP’s social conscience?

I’ve been observing this Ontario campaign with some curiosity as to why the Ontario Liberals decided they were going to target Andrea Horwath and the Ontario NDP first in the (pre)-camapaign over them failing to support their rather progressive budget, rather then go after Tim Hudak’s far-right stances/policies, which seemed to be a more obvious thing to attack. I think its now apparent why: there are a lot of progressive traditional voters of the NDP that are disgruntled by her tack to the centre, illustrated very well by Carol Goar:

Ontario’s churches, charities, social activists and anti-poverty advocates issued a statement in the second week of the provincial election campaign, […]

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Ontario voters not liking Hudak’s Voodoo Economics

First off, yes, this is a Forum poll, but like BigcityLib, I’ll take it as a starting point as to what people think of Tim Hudak’s 100 000 public sector job cuts/1 million jobs created dual promises. So far, they don’t like it at all, or they don’t believe Timmy can do what he claims:

Nearly two-thirds of Ontarians disapprove of Tim Hudak’s plan to cut 100,000 public servants to streamline government, a new poll suggests..The Forum Research survey also found‎ 63 per cent do not think the Progressive Conservative leader will be able to create his promised 1 million new jobs

Thas has translated to the polls as well […]

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The Gaffe-man

I’m almost starting to wonder whether Tim Hudak isn’t doing all of these “gaffes” on purpose; he and his campaign strategists surely can’t be THIS inept (can they?):

The latest misstep happened Sunday, when Toronto Transit Commission enforcement officers broke up the Tory leader’s announcement in a busy subway car. Mr. Hudak, his entourage and a group of reporters were ejected from the train after the PCs failed to clear the event with the transit agency, which bans political campaigning in the system..Such stumbles are particularly strange given how well-organized the PCs claim to be..But on the first days of campaigning last week, Mr. Hudak twice staged news conferences at […]

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How not to start an election campaign

Tim Hudak hasn’t exactly started off the unofficial Ontario election campaign in a blaze of glory. His opening day campaign stop yesterday to talk about his “million jobs” pledge stumbled when the recording studio owner (formerly of Triumph) noted he voted against The Music Fund in the 2013 Budget.

Okay, so that was a stumble… but to repeat it a day later? That’s almost hilarious:

For the second day Tory Leader Tim Hudak had to defend his position on so-called corporate welfare. On Tuesda‎y, Hudak chose to make his standard jobs pitch, including his opposition to government bailouts, at Automatic Coating Limited, which received $50,000 from the federal Conservative […]

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