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Posted by Scott Tribe on September 15, 2011, at 7:27 am |
As you might know if you’re a reader of this blog, I occasionally comment on polls. Today is a slightly different setting. A polling company criticizes and takes to task other “new” polling companies. Ipsos-Reid released a highly unusual statement at their site, where they question those other polling companies science and methods, and caution the news media that use them for a quick headline. A little excerpt:
Some marginal pollsters count on your ignorance and hunger to make the news to peddle an inferior product. Others are using your coverage to “prove” that their untried methodology is the way forward for market research in Canada…Journalists are no mere [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on September 14, 2011, at 7:03 am |
Another credible pollster – Forum Research – decided to take a poll specifically in Toronto, where conservative mayor Rob Ford and federal Conservatives had major breakthroughs of seats for varying reasons. The result isn’t the same at the moment for the provincial PC’s:
The party has slipped to third place in the city, dropping 10 percentage points since June 1 to 24 per cent support. The Liberals, who hold 19 of 23 seats in Toronto, is at 39 per cent, up from 34 per cent three months ago. The NDP, which has four seats here, has leapfrogged the Tories and is at 30 per cent up from 26 per [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on September 8, 2011, at 6:29 pm |
Wow:
A newly released Harris-Decima poll shows Dalton McGuinty’s Ontario Liberals have an 11 point lead over Tim Hudak’s Progressive Conservatives – the first time the governing party has bested it’s main rival in many months.The Ontario poll has the Liberals in the lead at 43 per cent, the PC’s with 31 per cent, the NDP at 21 and the Green Party trailing with five per cent. The 43 per cent support for the Liberals, if accurate, puts the party in majority government territory.
Even though I thought Tim Hudak’s abortion stuff would not go over well in mainstream Ontario, and the Liberals have fought back against the immigrant [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on September 6, 2011, at 7:19 am |
I’m fairly confident in saying that other then political junkies, not a lot of attention was paid to the Ontario election campaign by potential voters in Ontario. With Labour Day come and gone and a month left until Election Day, that officially changes.
Conveniently, we have a new provincial poll out from Nanos Research, conducted on behalf of CTV and the Globe and Mail, showing a tighter race. When rounded, it’s basically PC’s 35, Liberals 32, and NDP 23. Comparing to the previous Nanos poll, it appears that voters aren’t too enthralled yet. The PC’s and Liberals are both down between 5-7%, while the NDP made some gains. [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on August 15, 2011, at 7:35 am |
More unsettling polling news for the Ontario PC’s and their leader Tim Hudak:
With less than eight weeks to go before Ontarians head to the polls, the race between the Progressive Conservatives and the Liberals has tightened, with the Tories five points ahead among decided voters, a new poll suggests. The Nanos Research poll — conducted between August 10 and August 13 for CTV, The Globe and Mail and CP24 — found the Liberals are on an upswing, closing the gap slightly with the Tories. According to the poll, support sits at 42.1 per cent for the Progressive Conservatives, 37.6 per cent for the Liberals, 16.2 per cent for [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on August 11, 2011, at 7:44 am |
Very interesting:
In a flash sample poll conducted last weekend on 400 decided voters, Ipsos Reid found that the gap between Hudak and McGuinty continues to narrow. Of those polled, 38% say they would vote for Hudak and the Conservatives if an election were held tomorrow, while 36% would stick with McGuinty and the Liberals.
I’m not sure if it was one of the NP’s columnists who declared Dalton Mcguinty “done” – a couple of months ago – or if it was one of the Sun’s columnists, but this poll shows why it was stupid to declare anyone “done” when an election was still months away.
Posted by Scott Tribe on August 8, 2011, at 8:15 am |
I see Nanos is trumpeting a poll that says the Conservatives have fallen back into minority territory, while the Liberals have made big gains.
It’s nice to see Conservative support slipping. Unfortunately, the Conservatives have the luxery of not caring about polls for 3 and a half more years. As for the Liberals, I’ll wait til we pick a new leader and see how that leader does in handling Conservative attack ads before I get too excited.
Posted by Scott Tribe on June 21, 2011, at 9:12 am |
A new Nanos poll comes out today that shows the Conservatives slightly increasing their standing from the May 2, 2011 election results. This should be no great surprise; Parliament has barely sat since the results and is about to go in its break for the summer til September, and if you thought the electorate was disengaged before the last election, they’re hardly going to be now with summer approaching. What was done during this brief Parliament sitting was a threatened back to work legislation of Air Canada employees and a bill in the making to legislate Canada Post striking workers back to work. I would gander both actions or [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on September 3, 2010, at 10:23 am |
..if this poll is accurate:
Of the voters who have decided and say they are definitely voting, 34 per cent said they’ll support Lunn and 32 per cent will back May. Liberal candidate Renee Hetherington and NDP candidate Edith Loring-Kuhanga each received 17 per cent…The telephone poll by McAllister Opinion Research in Vancouver polled 402 randomly selected adults in the riding between Aug. 21 and 25. A random sample of 405 would have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
If anyone knows of that particular polling firm, and if they’ve been around for awhile, I’d be interested to hear [...]
Posted by Scott Tribe on July 24, 2010, at 10:46 am |
I’ve been telling many of our Conservative friends who’ve been pointing to the Ipsos-Reid poll saying that nearly half of Canadians said the changes to getting rid of the mandatory longform were “good” to wait on other polls before asserting that number to be rock solid.
And sure enough, courtesy of Norman Spector in the Globe, comes word of a new Angus-Reid poll released today that shows overwhelming support for retaining the mandatory longform census:
.. according to the poll (margin of error 3.1 points), 52 per cent of Canadians think the government should reverse its decision and keep the mandatory long form census. Only 27 per cent support [...]
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