voting intentions « Scott's DiaTribes

Or Lisa Raitt. She's deinitely faux pas material 13 hours ago
I'm betting Baird. He seems like the whiney type. 13 hours ago
Ok, so the saying goes "Things Happen in 3's" right? We've had Guergis and Blackburn in an airport argument.. so.. that means 1 more is due. 13 hours ago
It's the new media CW RT @jeffjedras: Did media flip in a week from detainee doc issue is dead to will cause election? 14 hours ago
Seriously, if you're going to report the Tory War Room spin, al least put it into context, as Jeff Jedras does - http://is.gd/aPtms 14 hours ago

Environics Poll shows Liberals in national lead.

Posted by Scott Tribe on February 12, 2010, at 12:16 pm |

I saw the folks over at CAITI Online post about an Environics poll:

Our Environics poll taken Feb 4 – 9 that was based on 1,000 random telephone calls indicates .. Canadians .. if an election were held today would vote:

Libs 28%
Cons 25%
NDP 10%
Green 7%
BQ 6%
Abstain 5%
Don’t know 17%

Accurate to within +/- 3.1%, 19 out of [...]

Best description ever of Harper's prorogation mistake.

Posted by Scott Tribe on February 4, 2010, at 2:00 pm |

Realizing that prorogation was the worst political mistake since Pierre Trudeau handed John Turner a list of his friends to find jobs for, the PMO is starting to throw furniture out the windows, in a vain attempt to get the Langevin Block to levitate.

Courtesy of Greg over at Mr Sinister, who has a bit more [...]

Ekos poll: Liberals take the lead (half point); detects 'significant shift'

Posted by Scott Tribe on January 28, 2010, at 12:24 am |

This Ekos poll was released tonight, and you’ll be seeing plenty of it on CBC later today, since it was done for them. The Liberals have crept into a “statistically insignificant lead”, but a lead nonetheless – the first since August 2009. The numbers are:

31.6% LPC
31.1% CPC
14.6% NDP
11.0% Green
9.1% BQ (37% in Quebec)
2.6% [...]

And here's a possible indication why the Conservatives want the detainee story to go away...

Posted by Scott Tribe on December 14, 2009, at 1:48 pm |

..and why I mentioned in the prior blogpost of mine that the pressure needs to be kept on them on the Afghan detainees story. The first poll taken after the Afghan detainee flap and the revelations by Colvin and then the sudden reversal by General Natynczyk that yes, there was evidence that Afghan detainees had [...]

Nanos Poll: reaction

Posted by Scott Tribe on September 9, 2009, at 10:37 am |

My short reaction to the Nanos poll that came out with regional specifics today is as follows:

- While we dropped a bit in Quebec, we don’t see BQ #’s anywhere close to what that Strategic Council Poll had, and the Liberals are still in that 32-33% range. I actually don’t mind those poll numbers; [...]

A Saturday Nanos poll.

Posted by Scott Tribe on June 27, 2009, at 9:18 am |

Here’s a new poll released by Nanos Research for folks to pore over today.

The gist of it is that in comparing this poll to the Nanos one taken in May, the Liberals dropped slightly and the Conservatives gained marginally, but the Liberals still lead nationally (Liberal 36.3%, Conservative 32.2%). Check out the regional breakdowns [...]

Ekos poll: Liberals open up margin on Conservatives

Posted by Scott Tribe on April 16, 2009, at 5:53 pm |

Well now, this is the first poll I’ve seen since Ignatieff became leader that shows the Liberals have opened up a lead on the governing Conservatives outside of a poll’s margin of error:

Asked which party they would support if an election were held tomorrow, 36.7 opted for the Liberals while 30.2 per cent chose the [...]

Nanos poll puts Liberals in statistical lead.

Posted by Scott Tribe on January 9, 2009, at 3:46 pm |

Courtesy of Warren:

The Nanos Research survey, provided exclusively to The Canadian Press, suggests the Liberals have moved into a virtual tie with the governing Tories. Liberal support stood at 34 per cent, one point ahead of the Conservatives and up eight points from the Liberals’ dismal showing in the Oct. 14 election under the leadership [...]

Polls tighten further: Cons lead in Nanos down to 3!

Posted by Scott Tribe on October 7, 2008, at 2:13 pm |

Dare I say it, the Conservatives are in real danger now; forget their hopes for a majority, they are in peril of losing the government altogether, IF the trends hold that Nanos is showing today:

CP 34%, Lib 31%, NDP 18%, BQ 11%, GP 6%

Pollster Nik Nanos comments on the new numbers:

The trend lines say it [...]

I know Elizabeth May did well in the debates..

Posted by Scott Tribe on October 6, 2008, at 11:50 pm |

..but did she do as well as the polling firm Ekos has her and the Greens in Ontario?

Liberals 33, Cons. 33, NDP 20,� Green 15

I think thats the largest # I’ve seen the Greens have in Ontario from any polling firm. If you’ve been following the Ekos daily poll, they would seem to be pulling [...]

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Environics Poll shows Liberals in national lead.

Best description ever of Harper's prorogation mistake.

Ekos poll: Liberals take the lead (half point); detects 'significant shift'

And here's a possible indication why the Conservatives want the detainee story to go away...

Nanos Poll: reaction

A Saturday Nanos poll.

Ekos poll: Liberals open up margin on Conservatives

Nanos poll puts Liberals in statistical lead.

Polls tighten further: Cons lead in Nanos down to 3!

I know Elizabeth May did well in the debates..

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